America’s Got Talent!

July 26, 2009

Flagstaff, you ROCK!!!! On a Sunday afternoon I like to take a stroll downtown, pick up a coffee and sit in Heritage Square waiting for someone to entertain me. I’m never disappointed.

Today’s group of talented individuals was a youth band called The Electric Army. You can’t beat a bit of Led Zeppelin to get your toes tapping. I didn’t take my camera or I’d have shown you what I mean.

They did a really full set, but unfortunately “Knock, knock knockin’ on heaven’s door” caused it to open, and half the Pacific Ocean fell out, so they had to stop before they electrocuted themselves. But they were really good, so although they’ll never see this I just wanted to record my thanks to them for a rockin’ good afternoon.

Oh, and thanks also to the Monsoon for a cracking good thunderstorm. On the way home a feeder stroke took out the traffic signals just fifty yards in front of me and the shockwave almost had my windscreen out too.

So anyway, if you live in Flagstaff then thank you so much for making your town such a special place; and if you don’t live in Flagstaff then I just wanted to offer my condolences.

Great stuff. Ouch! That was a close one. Better upload this before the power goes out.


Primary Colours

July 25, 2009

What is it about some landscapes that makes them so beautiful they take your breath away? Whatever it is, Sedona has it in bucketloads. Even the dullest bits would be major tourist attractions if you could move them to somewhere else.

For this weekend’s hike I decided to go to the West Fork of Oak Creek Canyon, but when I got there it was so stuffed with people that I’d have had to insert myself sideways and rely on Brownian motion to get anywhere. So instead I picked one of the hundred other trails around Sedona and headed more-or-less at random for Bear Mountain.

 BearMtn1b

This was a little bit quieter. Just a bit. In fact I had the entire mountain to myself. All of it. Not a soul anywhere. Of course, this might have had something to do with the midday temperature hovering around 95 degrees in the shade. And there wasn’t any shade. Also, a trail that climbs 1,600 feet in the space of two miles is the kind of thing that tends to put off a few of the more elderly tourists.

 BearMtn2b

But it was a beautiful hike. Arizona just blows my mind. It’s like living in technicolor. The scenery was painted in saturated, almost primary colours. Vermilion cliffs, emerald bushes and an azure sky: RGB. The air was dry and clear, the rocks glowed with warmth and even the lizards seemed deliriously happy. Whether all this visual intensity is overstimulating my brain and I’ll never again be able to appreciate scenic subtlety, I don’t know. But I don’t care either. This landscape just makes me want to pretend I’m Julie Andrews in the Sound of Music.

Unfortunately I didn’t quite make it to the top, because this started to happen:

Bear Mountain 118_0001

And then this:

Bear Mountain 119_0001

And it gradually became borne in on me that I was on the crest of a mountain and the lightning had just me and a couple of creosote bushes to choose from. If it came to a contest about who’d been the naughtiest boy lately I’d be fried, so I decided to head for a lower altitude.

Why am I telling you all this? Is there some clever analogy about dynamics coming? Am I going to illuminate some obscure aspect of biology? Nope. I purely and simply want to make you jealous, that’s all.

And the photos are for Dad, who is in hospital at the moment.


Ok, so, about this game thing…

July 22, 2009

If you look up into the night sky, just to the right of the bit that looks like a giant shopping cart, you’ll see a small blue star, called Sulis. Around it floats a stormy orange gas giant, and around that in turn swims a small moon, called Selene (until I come up with a nicer name).

selene2Selene is gravitationally challenged by all that whirling mass and hence is warm, comparatively wet and volcanic. It’s a craggy, canyon-filled landscape, by sheer coincidence remarkably similar to northern Arizona. The thin atmosphere contains oxygen, but sadly also much SO2 and H2S, making it hostile to earthly life without a spacesuit. But life it does contain! Spectroscopic analysis and photography from two orbiters have confirmed this (never mind how the orbiters got there – work with me, guys!)

There are hints of many species, some sessile, some motile. And just a little circumstantial evidence that one of these species may be moderately intelligent and perhaps even has a social structure. Your mission, should you wish to pay me a few dollars for the privilege, is to mount an expedition to Selene and study its biology and ecosystems. If at all possible I’d also like you to attempt contact with this shadowy sentient life-form.

Nothing is known (well, ok, I know it because I’m God, but I’m not telling you) about Selene’s ecosystems, geology, climate or, in particular, its biology. What is the food web? How do these creatures behave? What’s their anatomy? What niches do they occupy? How does their biochemistry work? How do they reproduce? Do they have something similar to DNA or does a different principle hold sway? What’s the likely evolutionary history? For the more intelligent creatures, what can be learned of their psychology, neurology and social behavior? Do they have language? Can we communicate with them? Are they dangerous? How smart are they? Do they have a culture? Do they have myths; religion? What does it all tell us?

You need to work together to build an encyclopedia – like Wikipedia – containing the results of your experiments, your observations and conclusions, stories, tips for exploration and research, maps, drawings, photos and all the rest. It will be a massive (I hope!), collaborative, Open Science experiment in exobiology…

So that’s the gist of what I’m working on. I was going to open a pet store and sell imported aliens but I decided it would be much more fun to build a virtual world you can actually step into, instead of watching through the bars of a cage. I’ll try to develop a whole new, self-consistent but non-earthlike biology, building on some of the things I learned from Creatures and my Lucy robot. I’ll discuss some of the technical issues on this blog but I’ll try not to give the game away – the point of the exercise is to challenge people to do real science on these creatures and deduce/infer this stuff for themselves. They/you did it admirably for Creatures but in those days I couldn’t give you anything as complex and comprehensive as I can now, and this time I don’t have marketing people breathing down my neck telling me that nobody’s interested in science.

I have no idea what the actual features will be, or to what extent it’ll be networked, etc. I’m just starting work on the terrain system and I have an awful long way to go. Because I’m working unfunded and have only a limited amount of money to live on, I’m going to work the other way round to most people, so instead of working to a spec I’ll squeeze in as many features as I can before the cash runs out. I know it’s absurd to hope to do all this in the space of a year to 18 months – after all, how many programmers and artists worked on Spore? Something like a hundred? But I think I’m as well equipped for the job as anyone, I work far more efficiently on my own, and it’s worth the attempt.

Whaddaya think?


Morality and the prefrontal cortex

July 20, 2009

Phew! I should have had the good sense to write up yesterday’s post as an essay for Machines Like Us, because there it could have stimulated unmoderated debate, whereas on my own blog I’m always the one holding the talking stick. I’ll see if Norm can add this post to yesterday’s, which he already put on his site, and then if you have other comments I’d encourage you to post them there.

As it is, thank you all for the excellent thoughts. I’ve decided to highlight some of them in this separate post, because not everyone reads comments and I’d hate for my own first thoughts to seem like the end of the matter. I don’t know the answers. That’s why I put forward my own working hypothesis, to be debated.

Anyway, here are just a few of the things people have said that I’d like to come back on. If you’re not in a hurry, you should read their comments on yesterday’s post, partly because they’re interesting and partly to be sure I haven’t taken their words out of context.

Vegard: I think that the problem is not that the moral philosophy not tied to religion is non-existent, I think the problem is that most people don’t _know_ that it exists, where to find it, that it is not usually taught in schools, etc

Yes, I suppose it may be true that most moral philosophy over the past three hundred years (and of course much that occurred among the ancient Greeks) was done in a secular context. But it remains true that the biggest objection to atheism that I’ve heard from the Christian man-in-the-street is the implicit or explicit assumption that atheists have no morals, or that our morals are vague and suspect, whereas the morals they’ve been given by their religion are absolute and self-evidently correct. I think more people would be willing to let go of a belief in the supernatural if they weren’t so scared of being thought amoral, or if they had a clearer idea of a morality that isn’t based on ancient teachings and threats of damnation. Non-believers have gained a voice in the past few years but I don’t think we’re yet providing replacements for all of the functions of supernatural religions.

David: Reading this blog entry, it was almost like reading an entry of a buddhist!

This is an interesting point, because Buddhism is to some extent a bottom-up, self-organising philosophy/religion that got going long before the Internet. Modern secularism seems to have similar emergent qualities and I’d expect its consequences in terms of morals, ethics and the like to be very much in the Open Source, collective mould. Speaking as one of many who think that supernatural explanations are counterproductive and often the cause of serious distress, I think we need some solid foundations – some good alternatives to the edifices we wish to replace. But at the same time we have to watch out that we don’t replace one top-down dogma with another. It’s a difficult path to tread – I was worried that my own suggestions for a basic moral principle would sound like preaching, which was not my intention. But the Internet, like Buddhism, gives us some good models for how to come to a consensus without leaders; an organisation with no organisers.

Terren: I do have a problem with one aspect of your point of view. You wonder whether the relative guilt of the drunk driver who kills, versus the one who doesn’t isn’t equal. You make a similarly counter-intuitive comparison involving the abused-murderer and the non-turn-signal-using driver. In both of these cases you dismiss the outcome of the act, focusing only on the intention of the act.  … I think that would be okay if we could know what our true intent was in each moment. But most of the time we act and then justify our actions later in terms of a model of ourselves, grounded in some context, and that model may or may not fit with reality. Addicts are good examples where the model doesn’t fit.

This is a tough one because it bears on free will and responsibility for our own actions. My own position on free will is that there is no such thing in an absolute sense, but that we must believe there is and act accordingly, simply on the basis that any society that doesn’t will soon decay and dissolve. Of course I shouldn’t say we “must”, because I’ve just said we don’t have any choice! Either our society will find a happy medium between believing people to be culpable and forgiving them for doing what anyone would inevitably do under the exact same circumstances, or it won’t. If it does, we’ll prosper and if it doesn’t we’ll die out.

I think there are two distinct levels of description: at the physical level there is no such thing as free will – we’re all just atoms bumping into each other according to immutable laws. But at the level of description in which we consider ourselves, personally, as free agents in charge of our destinies, the concept of free choice does make sense and as a consequence we have to accept blame and correction when we “do wrong”. Unfortunately we use the same language for both these semantic levels and often confuse them. Plus we simply don’t HAVE any language for describing non-teleological things. It’s tricky and more than I can make sense of in a few paragraphs.

I’ve been tangling with some of the often quite distressing issues you raise for some time now – when should you hold someone responsible for their actions? I don’t have good answers and I’m not sure there are any. I think in the end it comes down to drawing a personal line (but as you say, recognising that it’s a very fuzzy one). If someone hurts you because they’re suffering from a temporary stress-induced psychosis, should you blame them? What if it’s due to lifelong schizophrenia and they have no clue they’re behaving oddly? What if it’s a serious personality disorder and therefore not at all the way they would wish to be, yet unfortunately is a part of their whole makeup? What if it’s nothing that a doctor would consider pathological at all, it’s just that they grew up as an unpleasant person? What if it’s because they’re under the long-term influence of drugs that they took to deal with some undeserved pain in their lives? What if it’s just the beer talking? At the level of physics we can say that ALL of these people are just acting as they inevitably would – as you yourself would if you’d been born with their genes, had their upbringing and found yourself in their circumstances. But at the level of description where we use the term “free will” we have to come to a decision. I really don’t know the answer, and believe me I’ve had to agonise over it! All I know is that societies which find the right balance will prosper when those that don’t won’t. I hope we’re in one of those that do. Debate is one way to encourage the emergence of the right balance, I think; dogma is less likely to succeed.

But I still think the focus should be on intention (and awareness). Focusing on the outcome seems to me to be arbitrary. All of us do minor “bad” things all the time, as you point out, and mostly we get away with it. But some percentage of us will be unlucky. I can’t see any logic that justifies punishing the unlucky ones and not the ones who got away with it. Clearly it would be stupid to punish everyone who fails to indicate before changing lanes with a stiff prison sentence as if they’d killed someone. But the person who did kill someone did nothing that was more wrong – he just failed to indicate too. So it seems to me that the mistake lies in the harsh punishment, not the soft one. I offer it as a warning for us not to judge others too harshly. When it comes down to it, none of us can really help what we do, we just have to believe it sometimes in order to function.

Overall, the best I can come up with (and I’m not happy with it because it implies some vestige of “real” free will) is that we should judge people on the basis of how EASILY they could have avoided calamity. By the time a government declares war, they almost always find that they had little choice. But a wise and diligent government would have seen it coming and tried not to go down that road. That’s their job and we should blame them for not acting at that early point (even whilst recognising that they had no choice even then!) I think it makes some kind of tortured sense to hold people to account for how easily (whatever that means) they could have altered the course of history. That’s why I blame the person who failed to indicate (an easy thing to correct, with an easily foreseeable possibility of severe consequences) more than the murderer (who we presume could have done little to stop the cancerous progress of this relationship earlier, and eventually found herself in a position where she felt she had little choice but to do something terrible). But it’s a pragmatic solution and I welcome new insights.

Vegard: Charles Fried argued that it is wrong to kill and lie because we suppress another person’s ability to make their own choices and live their own lives. He also writes that “our first moral duty is to do right and avoid wrong”

I haven’t looked it up yet, but isn’t that begging the question? Of course we have a moral duty to do right – it’s the definition of “moral duty”. But what does “right” mean? That which is moral? It seems a bit circular. I’m suggesting that the right thing to do is the thing that makes people happy or avoids causing them distress. It’s then our moral duty to do that. But I’m sure Fried has a better argument than it seems and I should look. As for it being wrong to “suppress another person’s ability…”, yes, that’s the argument for freedom. I always assumed that happiness implies freedom – denying someone’s right to make choices makes them unhappy. So maybe optimising happiness is enough of a guideline. But maybe freedom needs a specific emphasis? I was just trying to get to a minimalist statement of best intent, and I’d hate to have to start adding additional clauses. It was the fact that we don’t KNOW how to make people happy that I liked about my suggestion: it forces us to think about each case on an individual basis, instead of blindly following rules. However, your next point (below) is a biggie!

Vegard: The theoretical problem with utilitarianism is that it allows for doing bad things because they have the best outcome overall — the McClosky example [1], simplified: A sheriff has the possibility of framing an innocent man which the public believes to be guilty, in order to prevent a brewing mass riot (which would lead to many more victims than just the one innocent man).

I have to admit that this was the thought going through my head that made me write the post in the first place. I won’t go into details but I’ve had painful personal experience of facing such a quandary. I tried so hard to do what was right – what would make people happiest and minimise the distress, but it was a zero-sum problem and I had to choose,  deliberately and knowingly, to hurt someone whichever option I took. And on reflection, three years on, I’m not at all sure that I did do the right thing. I may have caused people I love more distress than I would if I’d made the other choice. But what can we do but look as far into the future as possible and try our best?

Anyway, back to your specific example: It seems like framing the innocent man is self-evidently wrong, because that’s what the example is set up to suggest. But is it? Perhaps it is the right thing to do? I just don’t know. I think in practice the sheriff wouldn’t know either – he wouldn’t be able to judge in advance whether doing a bad thing to this person would actually result in the best outcome. There are too many unknowns. And so on that basis it sounds like a risky (and hence morally shaky) idea to tell lies and ruin one man in the HOPE of saving many.

Taken on a longer timescale, lying and perverting justice like that are almost unquestionably bad things. If everyone did it then society would quickly become lawless, anarchic and the total sum of happiness would decline hugely. The sheriff would be setting a bad precedent and taking a serious risk in assuming that his action stands alone. He should consider the longer-term consequences and perhaps decide that honesty is still the best policy, even though it will result in more distress over the medium term.

I don’t have answers, but that’s kind of my point. Choosing to do something bad for the greater good is not in itself abhorrent – we all tell white lies sometimes, with the best intentions and often the best outcomes. The default, of course, is to do what you’re expected to do – stick to the job description, base it on loyalty, or palm the problem off on a superior. But these are just cop-outs, ONCE you realise that the choice is there. To pretend you hadn’t thought of it is mere cowardice. Once the idea is in your head you’re responsible for coming to a decision.  And I think it is better if you think hard about that decision and stand up to be counted, instead of relying on dogmatic formulae to do your thinking for you. And what better basis than trying to make everyone happier? Isn’t that ”doing what’s right”?

What would a religious person do? They’d pray. They’d wait for a little voice in their head to tell them what to do. I would suggest that this little voice is their subconscious, and I have a great deal of respect for the subconscious – it is so much better at juggling large numbers of uncertain variables than formal logic in the prefrontal lobes can handle. So maybe the little voice would have the best solution. But the problem is that they believe that voice belongs to God. They therefore absolve themselves of responsibility and trust “God’s word” implicitly. They don’t question it to make sure that they aren’t just acting emotionally or irrationally, because it’s “wrong” to question God’s will. Even if the solution doesn’t seem quite right, they’ll account for it by saying that “God moves in myserious ways”; “It’s all part of his plan”. Now, as much as I have respect for the power of subconscious thought, I think it still needs to be checked against reason. And I think we need to recognise our own responsibility. When it comes down to it, the decision is ours, and there are no “right answers” that work for all circumstances so we have to adopt a compromise; weigh everything up; make a call and hope we get it right. If we got it wrong we should learn from that and try to avoid making the same mistake in future. I think that minimising the number of formal “commandments” encourages that, and certainly it pays not to leave unquestioned a voice that can say anything it wants to.

Tim: As [our 2yr-old daughter] has become able to understand more of what we’re saying to her, the key to it all seems to be empathy – if we can get her to empathise with the child whose toy she just took then our job is done. … Of course what we’re really doing is harnessing the work of evolution, since it hard-wired us for empathy when we became social animals. Who are we to argue with the conclusions of evolution?

That’s a nice thought, which I think I’ll finish on, because empathy is the crux of the “do unto others as you would have them do unto you” philosophy credited to Moses and then Jesus, which in turn is consistent with the idea I highlighted, of trying your best to make people happy. All of these in turn are expressions of the rather more Hippie concept, ”All you need is love”. And that ties several quite distinct aspects of our brains together – the ability to empathise and place yourself in someone else’s shoes, the ability to reason and see possible long-term implications of your actions, and our emotions, from which we get compassion, sorrow, guilt and all the personal rewards of making someone else happy.

So I think we all know what we have to do (whether religious or atheist); we just need to stand up and say it – not in the sense of “thou shalt”, but as in “I will”. We need to formulate it in a somewhat less “amygdaloid” and ineffectual way than the Hippies, but not nearly so “prefrontally” codified as Bentham’s attempt at an ethical calculus. We need to devote ALL our brains to trying to make each other happy, and we shouldn’t need a god to tell us to do it.